Trump announced that he will impose a massive fee of $100,000 per year on H1B visa holders, collected directly from corporate employers. Compared to the previous cost of a few thousand dollars per year, this directly increases it by a hundredfold. He directly announced it via presidential proclamation, and it takes effect immediately. Although tech giants say they will appeal, administrative litigation is usually protracted and hard to reverse in the short term.
For India, this is undoubtedly a bolt from the blue, because three-quarters of H1B visas go to Indians. In this video, we will talk about the interesting story between India, the US, Modi, and Trump.When India was aggressively countering US tariff blackmail, I clearly pointed out in the video that Modi had better not joke with Trump. He should immediately drop his pride, go to Washington and kiss Trump’s ass, instead of going to Tianjin to kiss Xi Jinping’s ass. Because Xi Jinping has no ability to protect him from Trump’s humiliation.
The US holds too many weapons to sanction India, and H1B is one of the options.Over these years, Indians have taken pride in the large number of Indian-origin executives serving as CEOs in Silicon Valley. Indians have thus occupied half of Silicon Valley through various crony relationships, and it can even be said that Indians have already ruled Silicon Valley. Meanwhile, India’s domestic IT giants are basically all doing outsourcing for Americans. Indians are used to using American social software and tool software, and have not developed an independent ecosystem.
Even India’s government agencies and major media rely on platforms provided by US tech companies. If the US government shuts down H1B visas or sets barriers for India’s outsourcing business, the blow to India will be devastating.Moreover, I predicted that with Trump’s personality, he really dares to do this. These videos were released in early September, and new viewers can check the old videos in the India playlist to verify for themselves. Actually, my various predictions about India have always been very accurate, mainly because the structural problems of this country are not complex.
They mainly stem from ignorant social customs, media collectively faking news, and the ruling party loving to boast. The false prosperity and empire of lies they have built have no ability to resist risks. Once major global countries, such as China and the US, start to despise India’s two-faced policy and strike at it, it will suffer humiliation with no ability to fight back. Not long ago, China’s embargo on India’s rare earths, urea, and sensitive industrial products plunged India into complete panic. Ministers made intensive visits to China, and Modi also went to Tianjin, which only eased the situation.
China’s ability to strike India can only delay India’s industrialization process, but Americans can make India go into shock in the short term.India’s dependence on the US is not only reflected in trade surpluses, but also in remittances from overseas Indians, the US dollar payment system, dependence on tech ecosystems, and political dependence. Without US support, many problems in Indian society will erupt. India is overall a trade deficit country, especially with a deficit against China reaching hundreds of billions of dollars each year. Industrial machinery, engineering equipment, parts, raw materials, and so on from China are essential for India’s industrialization.
This huge deficit needs income from other aspects to supplement it, because the Indian rupee has no credibility internationally, and except for Russians, no one dares to accept it. India’s industrial competitiveness is very low, and its companies have obvious gaps compared to those in Southeast Asia and Mexico. If it loses the US market, it will be hard for it to open new sales channels. So, the trade surplus from the US is crucial to India and not something dispensable.India obtains billions of dollars from the US each year through telecom scams, and this huge income is equally significant.
These scam companies can get the money because they rely on their outsourcing companies to sell personal data of US customers, which surprisingly forms an ecological closed loop. India’s outsourcing companies and employees serve US companies, steal Americans’ personal information, and then scam companies use it to carry out telecom fraud against them. Behind this deformed ecosystem are American tears and dollars in Indian wallets.But Americans are not fools. They know India is taking advantage of the US, so why do they still give Indians opportunities?
Because India has 1.4 billion people, which is a massive consumer market and a huge data center. US apps have long quietly penetrated every corner of Indian society, and India can no longer do without the US. These apps not only bring considerable profits to US companies, but also do not need to be reflected in trade data.At the same time, India has been efficiently supplying talent to US IT companies for many years, creating serious dependence for the US. Since the software made by Americans is more user-friendly, India’s domestic scene has not been able to develop an independent software ecosystem like China’s.
So when Trump uses the H1B visa to humiliate India, India really has no effective means of resistance. As for many Indians on X saying this is an opportunity to let Indian talent return and build their own IT ecosystem, I want to say that India has never produced any competitive products except cow dung. The same Indian employees, when used by US companies versus Indian companies, produce different values.
Moreover, the decline of US tech, being caught up by China, and using too many Indians leading to low efficiency is one of the reasons. If India can really build its own tech system, it does not need to wait until now to start.Modi has been in power for 11 years. Eleven years ago, India proposed to become a manufacturing hub, but the proportion of manufacturing in GDP has stayed in place, always maintaining around 15 percent. India has not only failed to complete industrialization, but has also been pulled further behind by new industrial countries like Southeast Asia and Mexico, let alone replacing China. The boast of surpassing China cannot be realized, and now they start bragging about being independent from the US and building their own IT ecosystem. Isn’t this a bit too absurd?
Actually, my advice to Modi and India remains unchanged. Modi needs to drop his dignity, issue a statement publicly apologizing to Trump, and immediately fly to Washington to kiss Trump’s ass. Because the H1B visa is just an appetizer, and Americans hold even more terrifying weapons in their hands. If the US government launches financial sanctions against India, it will instantly collapse the Indian economy. If Modi does not believe it, he will understand by the end of the year. This channel always likes to predict various topics about India in advance, and so far the accuracy rate is close to 100 percent.
I hope those Modi fans who attack me will remember what I say in this video again. By the end of the year, if Modi still does not surrender, you will see how miserable India will be.Finally, I want to say that China is not completely unable to save India, but saving India would offend Trump. It depends on how Modi is willing to repay Xi Jinping. To be honest, Xi Jinping’s ass may not be any less appealing than Trump’s. Why not give it a try?