Lee Kuan Yew on India: Ethnic Diversity, Inefficient Government, Hard to Develop

The video features Lee Kuan Yew, in response to a question from a student of Indian origin, discussing his assessment of India’s development trajectory, political constraints, and governance issues.

I. Progress Despite Constraints

  • Positive Outlook: Despite significant failings, India has achieved remarkable progress, with 6-8% growth, especially after the economy was opened up in the 1990s.

  • The Failings: Lee Kuan Yew identifies several ongoing issues:

    • Highly bureaucratic red tape.

    • Inefficient linkages between central and state governments.

    • Unwieldy coalitions in the center and the states.

II. The Constraint of Diversity

  • China vs. India (Homogeneity vs. Diversity): China is 90% Han and largely homogeneous, making it easier for the leadership’s message and policies to reach the majority of the population.

  • India’s Complexity: India’s enormous diversity—with 30-40 different ethnic groups and 320 dialects and languages—makes it difficult to implement uniform policies. A national leader speaking in any single language (e.g., Hindi, English, Tamil) cannot reach more than 30-40% of the population at once.

  • Achievement of Unity: Despite this complexity, the fact that India has held together under a fluid constitution is considered a great achievement.

III. The Governance Problem: The Case of Bombay/Maharashtra

  • The Goal: Lee Kuan Yew recounts a discussion with the deputy chief minister of Bombay (now Mumbai) about how to make the city a world financial center.

  • The Conflict:

    • Bombay’s revenue goes to the Maharashtra state government, which then spreads it throughout the state, prioritizing the needs of farmers and rural voters.

    • This system prevents Bombay from investing in world-class infrastructure (airport, roads, planning) needed for a financial center.

  • The Proposed Solution (Chinese Model): Lee Kuan Yew suggested making Bombay a self-governing unit that deals directly with the central government, similar to Shanghai, Tianjin, or Chongqing in China.

  • The Constitutional Impasse: The Prime Minister of India informed him that this change requires an amendment to the constitution, needing a two-thirds majority in Parliament and state approval, which is politically impossible to pass.

  • Conclusion: Bombay will remain at the mercy of the Maharashtra government, which will prioritize the voters who elected them, thus maintaining the chain that hinders independent development.