According to reports from Bloomberg and other media, the People’s Liberation Army launched a military exercise named Justice Mission 2025 on December 29, 2025. This is a direct response to the US recently approving arms sales to Taiwan worth about 11 billion dollars. The exercise includes live-fire shooting and encirclement drills. It involves units from the army, navy, air force, and coast guard. About 89 military aircraft and 28 warships were deployed into the airspace and waters around Taiwan. This is regarded as one of the largest military operations China has conducted in recent years. The exercise covers areas around the Taiwan Strait and may last several days. In addition, China has imposed countermeasures against 20 US military-industrial companies and 10 senior executives to express protest.
Actually, I have already become numb to such news and do not find anything new in it. The essence of the Taiwan issue is the China-US issue. The US military-industrial complex has strong influence in the government. By selling weapons to Taiwan, they can sell the worst weapons at the highest prices and delay delivery at will without any accountability. So, ignoring China’s opposition and selling weapons to Taiwan is the arrogance of the US government. Whether it is China’s exercises or sanctions, they actually cannot change anything. However, it should be noted that China’s island-encirclement exercises near Taiwan are getting larger in scale, stronger in force, closer in encirclement to the main island, and higher in level of combat realism. If the situation becomes urgent, the exercise can turn into actual combat at any moment.
What Chinese people care about most right now is still the economy and technology. As long as we win the trade war and technology war against the US and surpass the US in comprehensive national strength, Taiwan can be unified completely without relying on war. But this is exactly what US politicians find hardest to accept. The US has been the world’s number one superpower for many years. Emotionally, they cannot accept China’s strength approaching or even surpassing the US. Therefore, the Taiwan issue is a trump card for Americans. It is their way to blatantly interfere in China’s internal affairs.
In the 1950s, China sent troops to Korea and confronted the US head-on. During the war, Chinese soldiers highly praised the combat quality of the American giant. US weapons and equipment were ahead of China by an entire era. But Chinese soldiers relied on tenacious fighting spirit to drive the US army back from the Yalu River to the 38th parallel. After many large-scale battles, both sides finally negotiated a ceasefire. The Korean War made Americans reluctant to provoke China again for a very long time. Even in the Vietnam War, China warned the US army not to cross the 17th parallel north, otherwise China would enter the war, and the Americans complied with this tacit understanding. North Vietnam placed key facilities such as arms factories along the China-Vietnam border, thus avoiding US bombing. This became the key to counterattacking South Vietnam and completing national unification.
In the 1970s, in order to win over China against the Soviet Union, the US offered China many benefits and exported some advanced military equipment to China. When China and the US established diplomatic relations, there was also a clear joint communique stating US respect for China’s territorial integrity. However, after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the US no longer needed China and even regarded China as the main potential enemy. As a result, interference in the Taiwan issue grew stronger and stronger. In recent years, due to fierce trade wars and technology wars between the two countries, the US has failed to defeat China and has not even gained an advantage. So many hawkish politicians began to create trouble for China on the Taiwan issue and even tried to humiliate China.
The war hawks in China are also highly emotional, shouting for military resolution of the Taiwan issue and a direct showdown with the US. This courage to fight to the death with the enemy is worthy of affirmation, but only the weaker side needs to risk everything. In the competition between China and the US, I do not think China is at a disadvantage. On the contrary, Chinese people remain rational, continue to expand their industrial advantage over the US, eliminate US leading edges in technology one by one, and at the same time increase military expansion. Forcing the US into an arms race with China and dragging the US down is the most correct path. China is the world’s number one industrial power. The total tonnage of its navy has already surpassed that of the US. What it lacks is the number of large aircraft carriers, especially nuclear-powered ones. At the same time, China must surpass the US in the number of fifth-generation fighters and accelerate deployment in the sixth-generation fighter field to gain a technological advantage over the US military.
The price China pays to produce the same weapons is one-third or even one-fifth of the US price, and for some weapons it may be one-tenth. In fields such as drones and hypersonic missiles, the US has almost no ability to compete head-on with China. Maintaining the same scale of military, the US military’s personnel salaries, logistics maintenance and other expenses are five times or even ten times those of China. China only needs to deal with East Asia, while the US must maintain military superiority globally. As soon as its power shows signs of decline, dollar hegemony will collapse immediately.
Increasing military buildup in China can stimulate employment and promote technological development. For example, after iterative upgrades of electromagnetic catapult technology on aircraft carriers, it can be used to assist space launches, reduce rockets’ dependence on first-stage boosters, or even eliminate the need for first-stage boosters entirely to increase payload. Hypersonic technology can both upgrade aircraft carrier catapults to improve carrier aircraft sortie efficiency and be applied to maglev trains. No country has ever collapsed because its military scale was too large. What truly makes a country unbearable is often foolish decisions. The Soviet Union’s full-scale Westernization and the US’s de-industrialization are examples of such foolish decisions.
Today, China’s shipbuilding capacity is hundreds of times that of the US, and it controls most of the world’s military-grade rare earth resources. So Chinese people have no need to rush at all. Continue public military expansion. If Americans follow suit, let them go bankrupt financially. If they do not follow, once China’s military strength approaches or surpasses the US, the Taiwan issue will naturally be resolved.
Actually, Americans do not need to feel smug about their current dominant position. Everything you have done to the Chinese people, we remember in our hearts. The Chinese people have tried many times to communicate rationally with you and seek win-win cooperation. Do not keep refusing. Do not think the Chinese people dare not fight you again. Before starting a war, you had better think clearly about two questions: 1. Are you sure you can win? 2. Are you willing to fight desperately for this island the way China would? Right now you have a stockpile advantage in the military, but your replenishment speed is very slow. You should also consider the future. If the Chinese surpass the US in stockpile advantage, how will China treat you? You cannot possibly believe that your group of rednecks who need calculators even for addition and subtraction within 200 can compete with China in industry and technology, right? Do not do evil. Leave yourselves a way out.